Motion hash: 94c2541e909b1240ac478571305809cd23295a21
Motion passed in Nu: 2016–08–30 22:18 UTC
Motion passed in B&C: 2016–09–03 12:43 UTC
Price source: CoinMarketCap
US‑NBT price at 2016–09–03 12:43 UTC: 0.00125073 BTC
NSR price at 2016–09–03 12:43 UTC: 0.00000053 BTC
BTC price at 2016–09–03 12:43 UTC: 574.70 USD
The market price of US NuBits may be considered to have been manipulated looking at the activity around that time. I’m pondering whether to use the price at that exact point in time or attempt to decide a fair price.
US NuBit purchases were performed at around 03–06 UTC that day. 0.001435 BTC was the market price the moment before that which had been quite stable over the last 10 days. After Nu’s daily buy support was consumed the price was pushed further down, which can be relatively easy with the current thin support.
Comparison
# ~03 – Before US NuBit purchases earlier that day
# BTC = 574.95 USD
# US-NBT = 0.001435 BTC
# US-NBT = 0.8250 USD
# NSR = 0.0003 USD
(0.8250 * 120000) / 0.0003 = 330,000,000
# 12:43 – Exact prices
# US-NBT = 0.7187 USD
# NSR = 0.0003 USD
(0.7187 * 120000) / 0.0003 = 287,480,000
# ~15 – After motion passed with momentarily stable prices
# BTC = 575 USD
# US-NBT = 0.00139 BTC
# US-NBT = 0.79925 USD
# NSR = 0.0003 USD
(0.7999 * 120000) / 0.0003 = 319,960,000
Decision
The motion specifies “at the exact time this motion passes”. It’s definitely controversial to adjust. NuShare holders will have to agree by passing the upcoming grant.
The exact price is approximately 13% below the quite stable price during the 10 days before. Two hours after the motion passed the price recovered to about 0.001390 BTC (−3%).
This can be very simple by ignoring any potential market manipulation, or more complicated by taking the controversial route that may be fairer. −13% doesn’t seem right to B&C shareholders. Unfortunately, the dynamic makes it beneficial for Nu (whose shareholders are more likely to hold NuBits) to have the NuBit price down for this deal.
I set the US NuBit trading price at 0.00134172 BTC (−6.5%). NuShare price is 53 satoshi.