Without a hedge in a time of downtrend for btc price, it is likely to be a losing business, I feel.
I was a liquidity provider on NBT/USD for 1 month (3 weeks because of the hack) on CCEDK, 5000 usd in dual mode.
NBT has no volatility against USD.
So no loss on the fund value. It is obviously profitable to be a custodian on NBT/USD because the only risk is the risk of hack.
However, on NBT/BTC…I am using the trustless liquidity pool of creon on bitttex.
50 NBT in dual mode.
With the 5% decrease of BTC/USD over the last 24h, I already lost 5% because someone hedged against me and I do not have any hedge.
If that downtrend continues, it is likely that I would lose even more.
In this situation, the 7% or so of interest is not enough since it is a monthly interest.
If BTC/USD goes back again, I may balance out the loss and end up with no loss in terms of fund value.
So with the interest, it might be profitable.
That is why I am willing to try the pool for a while but with a small fund, relatively.
A possible scenario that I envision is that BTC/USD continues that downtrend till getting stable at a specific price (say 100 USD).
That cause losses for custodians but the world realize that BTC is not a good currency (finally!) and realize that NuBit is good at being a currency (assuming that the peg is kept in between which I believe it would ).
Then the main exchanges adopt NBT/USD and we shift entirely to a liquidity provided on FIAT markets, where it is much easier to be profitable, as a custodian.
In other words, that loss potentially incurred by custodians on NBT/BTC (that are likely to be Nu shareholders) could be regarded as a required transition for getting Nu to the next level.
Of course, I am not saying that being a liquidity provider on NBT/BTC offers no way to be profitable.
I am just saying that it is difficult, at least from my perspective.
That difficulty could explain why Nu has been having so few LPCs so far since the release.
I hope pools would change that in a way or another.
I think Nu has better find a business model other than supporting exchanges (feeding unthankful speculators). Before that happens, custodians should stay mostly in NBT/USD.
I come to realize of the importance of Benjamin’s insight
tl;dr; You cannot wait for volume in the NBT/USD market to develop before withdrawing custodial support. If you don’t withdraw support from NBT/PPC and NBT/BTC, then the NBT/USD market will never develop (or at least not for a very long time).
NBT/BTC offers little help to real economy that wants to use a dollar-pegged cryptocurrency. It helps to take volume away from NBT/USD.
We all hope BTC/USD will bottom out and custodians (and shareholders) will stop losing money. But in fact when BTC starts to rise speculators will dump Nubits. We are playing a losing game by catoring to speculative needs. We should concentrate on making it very easy for normal people to buy Nubits with fiat, and help to flood the market with lots of such low risk (low risk to Nu) Nubits so that walls of NBT/BTC at exchanges are a natural result from speculation.
Besides, can we envision a peg only maintained by providing liquidity into payment processors?
I feel it is possible if we can incentivize sufficiently custodians to sell and buy NuBits around the peg.
But in that case, how would that change from exchanges?
Maybe the opportunities for traders to hedge against custodians would much more limited in payment processors rather than exchanges.
I am just making some hypotheses here though.
EDIT: added info
EDIT2: how would that change from exchanges? --> well the pairs involved would be NBT/FIAT
So traders would not be able to hedge against custodians, hence the absence of loss.
Payment processors such as OKPay could support Nubits directly, just as it is supporting bitcoin, litecoin, and dogecoin now.
But that is not the best part, because such support is centralized. The better part is PerfectMoney, OKPay, Webmoney, Payeer, EgoPay etc all have APIs. If someone can provide simple code, business and grassroot individuals can easily become nubits liquidity providers, without anyone’s approval or interference, selling/buying NBT/USD, using these payment processors as backends so all fiats are off the server.
So instead of offering liquidity only on exchanges for NBT/BTC 1) (I remember a while ago that Jordan Lee stated that he wanted to make NuBit the most liquid crypto over exchanges), why not offering offering liquidity only on payment processors for NBT/FIAT 2) ?
In case 1), NuBit is only a stable coin against which traders hedge their BTC positions with no utility in real life.
In case 2), NuBits is a stable coin with no utility for speculating or trading or hedging in crypto exchanges, but with utility in real life (I am extrapolating by imagining that consumers would buy NuBits for online payment.)
I feel 2) is much closer to the original idea of NuBits.
Right now, I think it s fair to say that NuBits is not fulfilling the original idea: transactional currency.
This post mentions the same state of affairs.
I feel we need to operate a shift from 1) to 2) and then NuBits would fulfill the original goal.
If we do not do it, some fork of Nu would do it…
Can we get the NuPool on CCEDK NBT/USD? We just need a pool operator to propose a motion right? Who wants to be pool operator? I’d do it, but I’m afraid I don’t have the technical skills, commitable time, or trust of the community.
I tried this pair already and it is fully supported by the pool and working (alongside with EUR).
If anyone is interested in setting up a TLLP, be assured that you will get my full support in installing and maintaining it. Of course some technical skills are required.
Pegging against fiat was always the original goal and as far as I remember the whole crypto pegging was done because there were no other options. With open source we absolutely should evaluate our new options closely. @woolly_sammoth’s grant on Bittylicious is already a good start.
So I would be happy to put up something like 50USD on the NBT/USD using a btc-e code to get the USD to ccedk if I can get paid .25%/day. Can I use the latest nupool version and change the unit to USD and the exchange to ccedk? Would I need to use a different server than EU.nupool.net?
I would be also willing to support the peg on ccedk on nbt/usd with a small liquidity (like 50 usd) without the fuss to remit cash from Japan to Denmark.
I did it once here.
I would not want to deposit a lot of usd (relatively) because it is too risky.
But if we can diversify the risks among say 100 custodians, I would be definitively in.
I would be interested in btc-e code.
The eu.nupool server is only pointed to Bittrex at the moment in line with our custodial grant proposal here: [Passed] Trustless Liquidity Pool operation on Bittrex. We thought it best to restrict the number of exchanges that the pool operated on for this fisrt run as it meant fewer variables to untangle should things go wrong. @Cybnate has been getting to know the pool server software and has suggested that she may start operation on some CCEDK pairs in the next few days. Current Liquidity
Once the NuPool term on Bittrex has come to an end, I would like to see it operate again across a range of exchanges.
It looks like the response was that you got little volume. Is that a bad thing? I don’t think so. The risk is way lower than nbt/btc, that’s why we want to do it. The rate could probably be lower than .25%/day and I would still be up for it. We should pay high rates for risky stuff like nsr/nbt and lower interest rates for nbt/USD. Clearly all liquidity rates should be higher than park rates at least.
As for btce codes, they’re a good way to go from btc or ppc to USD that you can move over to ccedk, as there is basically no USD volume on ccedk for any pair.