Today rates are 0%. I think in 11.4 days, we want 5%. Those two bits of info are all I need to fully determine park rates using a shortsighted method:
11.4 d: 5%
22.8 d: 2.5%
1.5 m: 1.25%
3 m: 0.625%
6 m: 0.3125%
As another example, let’s pretend the rates currently are like the example above now and I think rates should be 3% in 11.4 days. Therefore, I vote:
11.4 d: 3%
22.8 d: 4%
1.5 m: 3.25%
3 m: 2.25%
6 m: 1.4325%
1 y: ~0.65%
And so on. The math can get cumbersome without a calculator.
Edit: With the current park rates we have now (2% for 22.8d, 1.5m and 3m), that same first example where I want 5% after 11.4d looks like this now:
11.4d: 5%
22.8d: 2.5%
1.5m: 2.25%
3m: 2.125%
6m: ~2%
1y: 1%
2y: 0.5%
Here you can see why I call this the shortsighted method. If the park rates for everything above 11.4d were 5%, but 11.4d was still 0%, this method would drag all the rates down. For example, if I started with 22.8d instead of 11.4d, I would get this:
22.8d: 5%
1.5m: 3.5%
3m: 2.75%
6m: 2.375%
1y: 1.1875%
2y: ~0.5%
If we really want the best picture, we have to decide for each category. With the more complicated model, however, we can forget what’s actually happening with the park rates and just focus in on our ideal distribution.
11.4d: I want 5%
Vote: 5%
22.8d: I’m voting 5% now, I want 5% in 11.4d.
Vote: 5%
1.5m: I’m voting 5% now, I want 4.5% in 22.8d.
Vote: 4.75%
3m: I’m voting 4.75% now, I want 4% in 1.5m.
Vote: 4.375%
6m: I’m voting 4.375% now, I want 3% in 3m.
Vote: ~3.7%
1y: I’m voting 3.7% now, I want 2% in 6m.
Vote: 2.85%
2y: I’m voting 2.85% now, I want 1% in 1y.
Vote: 1.425%
4y: I’m voting 1.425% now, I want 0% in 2y.
Vote: 0.7125%
When I say “I’m voting ___ now” I mean that that’s the vote for the previous category the we just established. This formula allows me to turn my preferred park rates into self-consistent park rates.
For instance, @cryptog has posted his preferred rates as:
– 1.4d: 2%
– 2.8d: 3%
– 5.7d: 4%
– 11.4d: 5%
– 22.8d: 6%
– 1.5m: 7%
– 3.0m: 10%
Which I assume are his actual, real desired rates. In that case, what he should really be voting, in my opinion, is as follows:
– 1.4d: 2%
– 2.8d: 2.5%
– 5.7d: 3.25%
– 11.4d: 4.125%
– 22.8d: ~5%
– 1.5m: 5.5%
– 3.0m: 6.25%
– 6.0m: 8.125%
– 1.0y: ~4%
– 2.0y: 2%
– 4.0y: 1%
– 8.0y: 0.5%